Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000065 0.000068 0.000071 0.000075 0.000079 0.000083 0.000088
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000067 0.000073 0.000079 0.000085 0.000093 0.000102
2025-03-02 0.000058 0.000063 0.000069 0.000077 0.000085 0.000095 0.000107
2025-03-09 0.000054 0.000060 0.000066 0.000074 0.000084 0.000095 0.000110
2025-03-16 0.000051 0.000058 0.000065 0.000074 0.000085 0.000099 0.000117
2025-03-23 0.000050 0.000057 0.000065 0.000075 0.000088 0.000104 0.000126
2025-03-30 0.000048 0.000055 0.000064 0.000074 0.000088 0.000105 0.000130
2025-04-06 0.000046 0.000053 0.000061 0.000072 0.000086 0.000104 0.000130
2025-04-13 0.000043 0.000050 0.000058 0.000069 0.000083 0.000101 0.000128
2025-04-20 0.000041 0.000047 0.000055 0.000066 0.000080 0.000099 0.000127
2025-04-27 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000064 0.000079 0.000098 0.000127
2025-05-04 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000065 0.000081 0.000102 0.000135
2025-05-11 0.000038 0.000045 0.000054 0.000066 0.000083 0.000107 0.000145
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000046 0.000056 0.000069 0.000088 0.000116 0.000164
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000045 0.000054 0.000068 0.000087 0.000116 0.000167
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000066 0.000085 0.000115 0.000167
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000042 0.000052 0.000065 0.000086 0.000117 0.000175
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000042 0.000052 0.000066 0.000088 0.000123 0.000189
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000041 0.000051 0.000065 0.000088 0.000124 0.000194
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000039 0.000049 0.000063 0.000086 0.000121 0.000192
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000061 0.000082 0.000117 0.000186
2025-07-13 0.000030 0.000036 0.000045 0.000059 0.000080 0.000114 0.000182
2025-07-20 0.000029 0.000035 0.000044 0.000057 0.000078 0.000112 0.000181